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Houses Under Fifty
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A Good Time to Buy a Home?
The most common question in
the real estate market at the moment: Is it a good time to buy
a home? You may be reading this years after it is written, when
conditions have changed substantially, but there are always certain
things to consider. So whenever you find this page, ask yourself
the following three questions before buying.
What Are Home Values
Doing?
The thing most people are wondering
about now when they ask if it's a good time to buy a home, is
whether prices have finally stopped going down. A home is seen
as an investment of sorts, so we all like the idea of buying
when values are going up. As of early 2009 (I'm writing this
in April) home values not only are not rising in most areas,
but seem to be falling still.
My wife and I just bought a
house despite this. There are several reasons why we felt comfortable
with out decision. First, prices don't seem to be falling much
here (Canon City, Colorado). Foreclosures are dragging prices
down a bit, but the market here is much more stable than in other
cities and states. The fact that prices never rose too far too
fast during the "boom times" probably has helped us.
That brings up an important
point: Real estate markets don't act the same everywhere. To
determine if a bottom is near or if prices are rising where you
are, pay close attention to whether houses are starting to sell
slower or faster. Quick sales usually mean prices will soon be
rising.
We didn't buy counting on rising
prices, however. That's not the only determining factor, and
it seems the problems in the country will get worse and drive
prices down 10% more - even here where we live. What else made
us decide it was a good time to buy a home for us? Read on...
Where Are Interest
Rates?
Right now you can get fixed
rate 30-year mortgage loans at about the lowest interest rate
in your lifetime (no matter how old you happen to be). The rate
on our recent mortgage loan is 4.5%, and that's not a variable
rate. It's a fixed rate for thirty years.
As long as you plan to stay
in a house for a while, as we do, this really matters. For example,
suppose you pass on a house that is selling for $200,000 and
waited a couple years. Sure enough prices fall another 10% in
your area. However, what if interest rates were up around 7.5%
at that time? Perhaps you get the house for $180,000, with a
principal-and-interest payment (assuming you have a 10% down
payment and borrow $162,000) of $1,132 each month.
Now suppose you bought at $200,000
now, again with a 10% down payment. The payment on your $180,000
loan would be $912 per month. Think about that. You would be
paying $220 more each month if you waited and bought the home
for $20,000 less. Do the math and you'll find that although you
saved $2,000 on the down payment you would pay $79,200 more in
payments, for a total of $77,200 more over thirty years (assuming
you stayed in the house that long). With a simple example like
this you can see the importance of the interest rate.
What's Your Personal
Situation?
A good time to buy a home?
Consider prices and their direction, and interest rates too.
But also think about where you are financially, and what your
goals are. Is your income secure? Could you make the house payments
for six months if you lost your job? Will you likely be able
to find another job that will provide enough income to pay for
the house if it comes to that? Will you stay in the area long
enough to justify buying? (Renting will often make more sense
if you will be moving within four years or less). They may be
difficult questions to answer, but perhaps they are the most
important ones in determining if it is a good time for YOU to
buy a home.
Houses Under Fifty Thousand
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