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Houses Under Fifty
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Real Estate Math
Real estate math isn't something
you need to learn for calculating interest rates or amortizing
loans. There are computers and calculators to do that. What you
need to know though, is a few simple formulas so you can say
whether a property is a good investment or not.
Real Estate Math You
Don't Need
There is one formula you don't
need - the gross rent multiplier. I only bring it up because
people are sometimes still using it, and there are better ways
to estimate value now. The gross rent multiplier is a crude way
to put a value on a property. You decide that you want to buy
something that sells for 10 times annual rent or less, for example.
You simply multiply the gross annual rent a building collects
by ten, and that gives you your value.
You can probably see the problems
with this formula. It has to constantly change to reflect interest
rates for starters, because a property might be profitable at
12 times rent when interest rates are low, but suck you dry at
eight times rent if the financing is expensive. Add to that the
fact that there are just plain different expenses for different
properties, especially when some include utilities in the rent,
for example. The gross rent doesn't say much about the factor
that makes a property valuable: net income.
Real Estate Math You
Need
You buy rental properties for
the income they produce, so this is what your real estate valuation
should be based on. This is why your real estate math education
needs to start with the how to use a capitalization rate, or
"cap rate" to determine value. The cap rate is the
rate of return expected by investors in a given area, or the
rate of return on a property at a given price.
An example will hopefully make
this clear. You start with the gross income of a property and
subtract all expenses, but not the loan payments. Suppose the
building's gross income is $76,000 per year, and the expenses
are $32,000, leaving you a net income before debt-service
of $44,000. To arrive at an estimate of value, you simply apply
the capitalization rate to this figure.
Suppose the usual capitalization
rate is .10, for example (ask a real estate professional what
is normal in your area), meaning investors expect to get a 10%
return on the value of their investment. You would divide the
net income of $44,000 by .10, and you get $440,000. This gives
you the estimated value of the building. If the common rate is
.08, meaning investors in the area expect only an 8% return,
the value would be $550,000.
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Simple Real Estate Math
Net income before debt-service
divided by cap rate - this really is simple real estate math,
but the tough part is getting accurate income figures. Make sure
the seller is showing you ALL the normal expenses, and not exaggerating
income. Suppose he stopped repairing things for a year, for example,
and is showing "projected" rents, instead of actual
rents collected. In that case, the income figure could be $15,000
too high. This would mean you would estimate the value at $187,000
more (.08 cap rate).
In addition to verifying the
figures, smart investors sometimes separate out income from vending
machines and laundry machines. If these sources provide $6,000
of the income, that would add $75,000 to the appraised value (.08
cap rate). First do the appraisal without this income included,
then add back the replacement cost of the machines (probably
much less than $75,000).
Be careful when you use any real
estate appraisal method. No formula is perfect, and all are only
as good as the figures you plug into them. When used carefully,
though, real estate appraisal using capitalization rates is the
most accurate method for rental properties.
For putting a value on a single
family home, you need another approach. Yes this means more real
estate math to learn. See the page Real
Estate Appraisal.
Houses Under
Fifty Thousand | Real Estate Math |